FISHING EAST ON MARCH 1ST OPENER???

Discussion in 'Stillwater' started by ryfly, Feb 24, 2014.

  1. Vladimir Steblina

    Vladimir Steblina Retired Forester...now fishing instead of working

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    The following is the forecast discussion from the National Weather Service in Spokane for this weekend. While it is almost certain that bitter cold will make the fishing so much more interesting this weekend. Check out the possibility of heavy snow!! Cold, wind, and snow in March!!

    As they say...ENJOY.

    Friday through Sunday: The arrival of a strong arctic cold front
    with much below normal temperatures and biting north winds by
    Friday evening appears to be a near certainty now. We have talked
    a great deal about lack of forecast confidence in this tricky
    pattern, but we can say with a pretty high degree of confidence
    that the arctic front that arrives this weekend will be one of the
    coldest the region has seen this late in the season in a long
    time. The huge polar low over St. James Bay will drive air from
    the upper regions of north central Canada into the Upper High
    Plains with enough momentum that it will cross the Continental
    Divide on Friday and bleed into north Idaho and eastern Washington
    Friday night into Saturday.

    While brutal wind chills and cold temperatures seem to be a slam
    dunk with this forecast, forecast confidence is extremely low for
    snow amounts at this time. There will be a complex collision of
    arctic air descending from the northeast with moisture arriving
    from the south on Friday and Saturday. The timing of the Arctic
    front and the strength of the push of moisture from the south will
    make or break the snowfall forecast. Since these two key components
    of the forecast are thousands of miles apart today (and over data
    sparse regions), a high degree of model variability should be
    expected. Of the morning model runs, the NAM has been the most
    dire in it`s prediction of many inches of snow over eastern
    Washington. The NAM is very aggressive forcing shallow arctic air
    into Washington while stalling a tight mid-level front in the
    vicinity of I-90. The majority of the other models including the
    GFS, ECMWF and Canadian models agree that the better forcing and
    moisture supply will be over Oregon, southern/central Idaho and
    Montana. For now, our forecast is for relatively light snow
    amounts with the most significant accumulations over the central
    and southern Idaho Panhandle Friday and Saturday. This may change
    given the complexities of forecasting in a split flow pattern. But
    for now, the biting north winds and bitterly cold temperatures
    will be the main headlines for the weekend.
     
    mat1226 likes this.
  2. Ron Olsen

    Ron Olsen Member

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    Hmmmmm.....

    I'll be in Tucson playing golf.

    Ronbow
     
  3. Scott Salzer

    Scott Salzer previously micro brew

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    Vladimir:

    You trying to keep the west side guys on the west side? I do have to agree - not very appealing!
    NOAA - I like pictures.
    8 Miles S Vantage WA

    7 Day Forecast
    NWS Weather Forecast Office

    THIS
    AFTERNOON

    [​IMG]
    Scattered
    Showers
    High: 41 °F
    TONIGHT

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Showers
    Low: 35 °F
    FRIDAY

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Rain/Snow
    High: 39 °F
    FRIDAY
    NIGHT

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Snow
    Low: 27 °F
    SATURDAY

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Snow
    High: 27 °F
    SATURDAY
    NIGHT

    [​IMG]
    Slight Chc
    Snow
    Low: 11 °F
    SUNDAY

    [​IMG]
    Slight Chc
    Snow
    High: 19 °F
    SUNDAY
    NIGHT

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Snow
    Low: 17 °F
    MONDAY

    [​IMG]
    Chance
    Snow
    High: 24 °F

    • This Afternoon
      Scattered showers, mainly after 4pm. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 41. West wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    • Tonight
      A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 35. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming north after midnight.
    • Friday
      A chance of rain before 4pm, then a slight chance of rain and snow. Cloudy, with a high near 39. Northeast wind 5 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
    • Friday Night
      A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly after 10pm. Cloudy, with a low around 27. North wind 18 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph.
    • Saturday
      A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. Northeast wind around 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
    • Saturday Night
      A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11.
    • Sunday
      A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 19.
    • Sunday Night
      A chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 17.
    • Monday
      A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 24.
    • Monday Night
      A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20.
    • Tuesday
      A slight chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 30.
    • Tuesday Night
      A slight chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 21.
    • Wednesday
      A slight chance of rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 34.
     
  4. dp

    dp ~El Pescador

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    Yahoo weather paints another picture - cold in the morning but warming to 35` - I'll take that report. Snow chances seem to be lessonig too. I'm going. will be in the Lenice lot by 9:00 after stopping at Buzz Inn in E-berg. my plan is low and slow with buggers thinking the fish are still in Fall/cold water mode. May try some chiro fishing in the heat of the day. Olive Outback with boat on top.
     
  5. Vladimir Steblina

    Vladimir Steblina Retired Forester...now fishing instead of working

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    I would if the forecast were for 70 and sunny. Drove around the basin looking at lakes.

    Will post a report in a couple of hours.
     
    Mark Kraniger likes this.

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