Liars! Who do you trust?

Discussion in 'Fly Fishing Forum' started by G-spot4u, Sep 27, 2013.

  1. freestoneangler

    freestoneangler Not to be confused with Freestone

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  2. Old Man

    Old Man Just an Old Man

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    I only believe half of what they tell me. And I discount the rest.

    All summer long they told us it was going to be warm.....................and it was.
     
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  3. generic

    generic Active Member

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    Geez... Next thing you know, they're going to tell us it'll be cold this winter!
     
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  4. Fishee

    Fishee Active Member

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    I trust no one when it comes to weather. The weather we have here are so...EMO. I do trust the radio once I'm in the water. and I'll decided if I want to be in that water when I'm at the launch. Always think of safety and consequences.
     
  5. Jim Wallace

    Jim Wallace Smells like low tide.

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    This is not "prediction." The weather stone just displays what is going on in real time. Predictive accuracy is what we're searching for here.

    But thanks for the idea of how I might be able to market my beach agate collection.:D

     
  6. Mark Walker

    Mark Walker Active Member

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    Indeed and corrected.
     
  7. jessejames

    jessejames Flyslinger

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    I had an acquaintance who was the Feds head meteorologist for the Spokane WA area. His forecast one early winter day was for "partly cloudy and cold" It snowed hard that night and a mutual friend called him at 6 am and said "Hey Bob, you want to come over and shovel this 6" of partly cloudy off my driveway"
    jesse
     
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  8. Irafly

    Irafly Indi "Ira" Jones

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    When I first opened this thread up, I thought it was about fisherman myself, only seemed logical.
     
  9. David Dalan

    David Dalan 69°19'15.35" N 18°44'22.74" E

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    I don't even remember the last time I cancelled a trip because of the forecast. That includes fishing the OP in winter. But I strongly second Weather Underground. It was the best tool for predicting when I could cut/rake/bale hay in a tight weather window.

    Haying REALLY does depend on weather.

    But fishing? Ha! :D
     
  10. Alex MacDonald

    Alex MacDonald Dr. of Doomology

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    When I need a forecast, I look out the window. Quick, easy, and accurate... But alas, I fish, too:D
     
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  11. Jeff Sturm

    Jeff Sturm Member

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    Being something of a nerd, I enjoy his blog a lot. I also recommend his book--interesting read.
     
  12. Evan Burck

    Evan Burck Fudge Dragon

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    Accuweather may be toward the bottom on their accuracy around here. Start doing side by side comparisons over a period of time, let me know which one works out better for you.

    And I'm fairly certain that the meteorological website has nothing to do with radical political activist groups by the same name.
     
  13. Dipnet

    Dipnet The wanted posters say Tim Hartman

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    When I first read this I thought "how does being high while driving help him in weather forecasting?" ;)
     
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  14. Richard Olmstead

    Richard Olmstead BigDog

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    When I was a grad student at the UW in the 80's, one of my best friends was a grad student in Geophysics, which shared building space with Atmospheric Sciences in the Johnson Hall Annex. On the top floor they had all of the best available real-time weather data coming in from many sources, including radar, satellite feeds, ground weather stations, ocean bouys, etc. Every week they would have a betting pool to try to predict the weather for the coming weekend, with several parameters to predict (temp, rain, wind, etc.). These guys were professors and Ph.D. students and real data whores for such stuff and they still had a tremendous amount of variation in their forecasts.

    Models and data are better today than they were the, but it is still really hard to predict weather with much precision more than about 24 hours out.

    D
     
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  15. freestoneangler

    freestoneangler Not to be confused with Freestone

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    Dammit... I obviously need to sharpen my hooks ;). I started using accuweather some years back and it seems as right and wrong as the rest. I think most of them steal info from NOAA anyway.