Predicting Blowouts....

Discussion in 'Fly Fishing Forum' started by homeslice, Jan 5, 2014.

  1. homeslice

    homeslice New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2013
    Messages:
    28
    Likes Received:
    6
    What flow rate and water footage produces a blown out to your local rivers?

    Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk
     
  2. freestoneangler

    freestoneangler Not to be confused with Freestone

    Joined:
    Jan 1, 2006
    Messages:
    6,905
    Likes Received:
    2,190
    Location:
    Edgewood, WA
    Jeff Sawyer likes this.
  3. PT

    PT Physhicist

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2003
    Messages:
    3,912
    Likes Received:
    1,140
    Location:
    Edmonds, WA
    I consider Western Washington rivers to be my local rivers. Do you really want me to start listing gauge height and cfs for what might be considered blown?

    Look at historical data and notice rises of 10k cfs or more for all western WA rivers. Consider those blown.

    What do you really want to know? When to go and when not to?
     
  4. homeslice

    homeslice New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2013
    Messages:
    28
    Likes Received:
    6
    No. It's my first season fishing nw rivers so I'm trying to understand when rain frequency sustains suitable rise to rivers without blowing too much cloudiness. Looking over NOAA charts shows predictions for rain but I'm unsure where in the bell curve between the rise to it's peak (ex. 3 ft.) And it's drop would there be a blow out or a suitable level for fishing. Could the frequent rains keep levels high yet sustain water clarity or would there always be blow outs over a certain footage? I understand every river varies but understanding the probability of blow outs between a few days of rains with a 2 foot rise and several days of rain with a 5 foot rise may or may not produce bad clarity.

    Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk
     
  5. triploidjunkie

    triploidjunkie Active Member

    Joined:
    Feb 15, 2010
    Messages:
    3,869
    Likes Received:
    3,870
    Location:
    Grand Coulee, WA
    My homewater doesn't really blow out. I've fished it at over 100k with great results. It actually seems to stack fish up in coves, looking for refuge.
     
  6. Dirty=good chocolate milk=bad
     
    Teenage Entomologist likes this.
  7. I will give u one quick tip if the rivers local ecosystem has been heavily logged by corporations a couple hundred Cfs spike can blow it out.
     
  8. homeslice

    homeslice New Member

    Joined:
    Sep 30, 2013
    Messages:
    28
    Likes Received:
    6
    So the Pacific Northwest.

    Sent from my Nexus 7 using Tapatalk
     
  9. cuponoodle breakfast

    cuponoodle breakfast Bigfoot is blurry

    Joined:
    Feb 26, 2003
    Messages:
    1,908
    Likes Received:
    564
    Location:
    western WA
    If I drink miller lite I will experience a blowout.
     
    plaegreid, Yard Sale, dibling and 2 others like this.
  10. Teenage Entomologist

    Teenage Entomologist Gotta love the pteronarcys.

    Joined:
    Aug 12, 2013
    Messages:
    801
    Likes Received:
    486
    Location:
    Ashland, OR
    I think 15,000 CFS is blown out for my local river, the mighty Sacramento.
     
  11. KerryS

    KerryS Ignored Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2001
    Messages:
    7,916
    Likes Received:
    3,605
    Location:
    Sedro Woolley, WA, USA.
    Each river is different and each section of each river is different. I fish the Skagit which is a large river. Sometimes the lower river can be blown but above any of the many main tribs the river might be fishable. I have seen it blown above Concrete but the Baker running full on and dumping crystal clear water. By the time it gets below Hamilton the main stem Skagit water has been mixed with the Baker making conditions low in the system fishable. The only way to really know is to get on the water and try it.

    I have caught steelhead in water with less than 18 inches of visibility.
     
    Evan Virnoche likes this.
  12. Krusty

    Krusty Krusty Old Effer

    Joined:
    Oct 9, 2011
    Messages:
    1,985
    Likes Received:
    2,062
    Location:
    Spokane, WA
    You can can bank on the fact that the Seahawks will clutch and lose in a blowout no matter how good they looked throughout the season.
     
  13. krusty i hope your personal watercraft sinks with you on it
     
    KevinLS and Ryan Higgins like this.
  14. PT

    PT Physhicist

    Joined:
    Jan 11, 2003
    Messages:
    3,912
    Likes Received:
    1,140
    Location:
    Edmonds, WA
    I predict the Hoh is about to blow.....

    blown.jpg
     
  15. yah its not looking to promising