(Guy), I’m not up on this weather/water temp thing, so what do you think about this?
Meanwhile, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) neutral conditions are favoured for the remainder of the northern hemisphere summer, the NWS's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) said in its monthly forecast.
There is about a 60% chance of ENSO neutral conditions for the July-September season, and a 70% chance of La Niña from November through January 2022, the CPC said.
The ENSO weather pattern is marked by average long-term ocean temperatures, tropical rainfall and atmospheric winds.
I'm really not sure what it means - other than this appears to be well outside "normal" (whatever that is). But yeah, the heat anomaly in the N Pacific does not appear to be ENSO related.
I'd be more inclined to say this is a PDO thing but according to NOAA, the PDO has been - and continues to be in "cool" phase:
This is super confusing given the entire North Pacific is affected by extreme warm SST anomaly?! Some professional deciphering of this would be great - cuz what I'm seeing ain't "cool".