Liars! Who do you trust?

Contrary to what many believe, meteorologists/weathermen are doing their best to provide the most accurate forecasts possible. Its actually pretty remarkable they are able to get as close as they do. We should be grateful that weather forecasts even exist.

If I'm looking for a weather forecast for a fishing destination I usually just google the city, state and add weather, then use one of the many options that come up. Most of them will show similar forecasts. NOAA also provides fairly accurate predictions. With most of these sites, they aren't going to get it perfect, but should be able to get the general weather patterns for the area your looking at.


Active Member
From what I have observed you can trust them when they say it will rain ......but other than that, be it sunny and 80, or sunny and 75 I don't trust them. :oops:
Who needs a meteorologist.
For accurate, on the spot weather. I use a stone suspended from a cord outside my kitchen window.
Some examples of the instructions for the weather stone include:
  • If the rock is wet, it's raining.
  • If the rock is swinging, the wind is blowing.
  • If the rock casts a shadow, the sun is shining.
  • If the rock does not cast a shadow and is not wet, the sky is cloudy.
  • If the rock is not visible, it is foggy.
  • If the rock is white, it is snowing.
  • If the rock is coated with ice, there is a frost.
  • If the ice is thick, it's a heavy frost.
  • If the rock is bouncing, there is an earthquake.
  • If the rock is under water, there is a flood.
  • If the rock is warm, it is sunny.
  • If the rock is missing, there was a tornado.
  • If the rock is wet and swinging violently, there is a hurricane.
  • If the rock has white splats on it, watch out for birds.

David Loy

Senior Moment
On a similar vein, sometimes I think about the poor weatherman in San Diego.
"OK, well it'll be 79 degrees and sunny today, again." And again, and again, and again. Year round I think it's 74 to 84 and sunny. An idiot could bat a high percentage there.

David Loy

Senior Moment
Poole replied that Seattle is/was one of the toughest places in the US to forecast weather thanks to the Olympic mountains. They split the jet stream winds and depending on their speed and direction, the 'convergance zone' where they come back together can vary by many miles.
When I camped and hiked more, I used to keep a "plan B" option in mind, for when the last minute forecast was rain at "plan A". I'd often aim for somewhere on the East side of the Olympics directly opposite the jet stream or storm track direction. It's a good tactic to keep in mind. I've had some successful dry weekends when it was raining everywhere else in Western Wa.

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