You have proposed the following -
"if a river is not meeting it's escapement goals fishing should not be allowed. just to throw out numbers.
escapement not met 0 fishing
escapement met .. catch and release fishing allowed
escapement + 10% hatchery fish allowed with hatchery harvest allowed
escapement + 50% wild harvest allowed 1 per day 5 per year.. guided anglers not allowed to harvest, guides not allowed to harvest"
I find that sort of approach very interesting and it may surprise you that while the details may vary some that is exactly the sort of approach that the co-managers submitted to the feds in 2010 in an effort to establish a Puget Sound steelhead fishing plan. It is also the sort of thing that "Occupy Skagit" has been pushing for. While the co-manager plan did not include your hatchery piece abundance based thresholds for increasing allowing impacts were a central component.
Across the State the standard for setting anadromous escapement goals continues to be MSY. An glaring exception has been Skagit wild winter steelhead where the goal is 150% of MSY. It is interesting if the co-manager in the basin had used MSY as the goal (4,000) then under your example targeted wild harvest would be allowed in the recreational fishery when the run was expected to be above 6,000 adults yet when they opted for a more conservative goal folks take exception with even a CnR fishery.
As an aside if the current goals are completely BS what would your recommend?
first of all my wild fish harvest was a compromise a reasonable one however i feel that no one should ever kill another wild steelhead ever even if we hit 1000% of the escapement goal..
MSY should be thrown entirely out the window we should not expect our rivers to yield anything at all. we should adopt a new management strategy for Maximum Potential Spawning.
the hatchery steelhead thing was also a compromise I do not believe that we should allow the state or any other agency to be involved in raising hatchery steelhead for planting within our state.
use all that money and energy to raise salmon for harvest and use steelhead for conservation or northwest heritage. hatchery steelhead are a complete waste of time and resources.. I'd rather have double the hatchery coho.
my point is that steelhead are not a prolific species like salmon species are so lets put our hatchery harvest efforts where it'll have the highest yield...
as for escapement goals I think if we doubled them all we'd have a good starting point...