I'd say the WDFW sucks at making predictions.
I'd say you're absolutely correct. Long-term weather forecasts are more reliable, and that ain't saying much.
That's not a knock on WDFW so much as an expression of my distaste for the current management paradigm in general. I mean, who thinks they can predict fish runs any better?
I suppose I should be glad, though, because if it weren't for the occasional, significant underestimation of the returns, sport fishing in the rivers would be lousy every year, since everything harvestable would be caught before they get above all the nets.