o mykiss said:
The runs really started crashing when these lower Snake dams were put in. Cactus, I'm sorry if it offends you that I'm fingering the dams as being a, if not the, major obstacle to recovering these runs, but that's where the evidence seems to be pointing.
You make the common mistake of assuming coorelation equals causation!

There are other changes that took effect around the same time the dams were built that could be the cause of the problem.
In 1970, the tribal harvest above Bonneville Dam was approximately 500 tons of salmon. In 1990, it was approximately 1650 tons of salmon according to the Oregon Dept. of Fish and Wildlife. The tribal harvest was increasing at the same time that the dams were supposedly causing fish to decline! How could that be?
In 1968, the outgoing Snake River salmon had to share their Columbia River habitat with an estimated 600,000 shad. In 1990, they had to share habitat with an estimated 4,000,000 shad according to the Oregon Dept. of Fish and Wildlife. Could the increased competition for limited resources be a cause of the decline in salmon?
Between 1985 and 1997, cormorant populations had increased by
600% on Rice Island in the lower Columbia River according to OSU researchers. This island was created by the Corp of Engineers from river dredgings. These same OSU researchers estimated that cormorants and terns eat between 30 to 40% of the juvenile salmon that reach the lower Columbia.
Another potential problem is the increase of seals and sea lions in the Columbia. Since the passage of the
Marine Mammal Protection Act in 1972, the population of seals and sea lions in 2004 has risen to approximately
16 times the population of 1972 according to some estimates. This surely must have a signifigant impact on returning Snake River salmon!
In regards to the depleted Snake River sockeye runs, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service has estimated that 80% of the sockeye rearing habitat has been lost to large irrigation dams in Idaho. While the population of Snake River sockeye has plummeted, the population of upper Columbia River sockeye has remained relatively stable despite the fact that they have to pass 9 dams to reach their spawning grounds. If dams are the main problem, why would Snake River sockeye be so much more susceptable to dam mortality than Columbia River sockeye?
You also ignore the fact that both the Willamette River and the Hoh Rivers have had severely reduced returns of salmon this year as well as the Columbia/Snake River runs. How could the Snake River dams have caused this?
o mykiss said:
If one wants to argue that saving these runs shouldn't take priority over waterskiing on a river and having an inland sea port to barge grain down a river that is lined with perfectly adequate rail capacity, have at it. It's more intellectually honest than trying to say the dams are not a problem.
As for watersking, I couldn't care less! I don't ski and even if I did, I could always find other areas if it meant saving the salmon runs. What I want is to see the fish saved! And right now, the agencies that are calling the shots and providing the "scientific studies" all have a vested interest in seeing that salmon harvests are maximized for commercial interests.
The Washington/Oregon Departments of Fisheries and the combined Tribal Fisheries Agencies do want ANY limits placed on the commercial harvest. They will blame anything before admitting that the problem just may be over fishing! These agencies along with NMFS are the ones whose studies are always cited.
As others have stated, this issue is very political. And right now, the lobbies representing the Tribes, commercial fishermen and farmers in Idaho have much more sway than the millions of North Westerners that utilize the power produced by the dams.
No, it's more intelectually honest to look at ALL potential causes of the declines in the Columbia and Snake Rivers salmon; no matter whose ox may get gored. If, after all possible causes of the decline in salmon populations are studied as fully and as unbiased as possible using reputable scientific methods, it turns out that the Snake River dams are the primary cause of this decline, I will be cheering when they come down. But for now, I have seen enough evidence to the contrary to have my doubts.
What I DON'T want is to spend the estimated six billion dollars tearing down the dams, only to find the fish runs still declining; while the Tribes and gill netters decide what to do now that they have caught the last fish!